Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Stadion Schützenwiese
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.85) 2.67 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 17.1% 59.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
7.7%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 1.8% 4.7% 6.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.0%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.6% 7.7% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack33%53%
Defense47%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Winterthur FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins14%13%13%47%47%47%
Draws29%19%23%33%13%23%
Loses57%69%63%20%40%30%

Form: FC Winterthur: LDLDLLLLLDLWLLWLDLLLWDLLLLLDDW • FC Basel 1893: LWWLWWLWWLWDLDDWDWDDWLWLDLWWLW

League goals

Metric FC Winterthur FC Basel 1893
HATHAT
GF total191534222345
GF avg1.40.91.11.51.51.5
GA total334780122739
GA avg2.42.92.70.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%100%80%73%
1.533%73%43%30%
2.57%50%20%17%
3.53%27%7%7%
4.50%13%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
HATHAT
Clean sheets000538
Failed to score279336

Penalties

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total18

Streaks

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Wins12
Draws22
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-34-10-3
Biggest losses1-56-11-25-1
Goals For4344
Goals Against5625

Model comparison

MetricFC WinterthurFC Basel 1893
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals10%90%
Total34.6%65.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Basel 1893

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ 188Bet
Away1.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Winterthur = 1.36 (league 1.85), FC Basel 1893 = 2.67 (league 1.35)

FC Basel 1893
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Winterthur 0 1.8% 4.7% 6.3% 5.6% 3.7% 2.0%
1 2.4% 6.5% 8.6% 7.7% 5.1% 2.7%
2 1.7% 4.4% 5.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.0% 2.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 59.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1