Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.16)
0.97 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.2% | 27.6% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bugesera | 0 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 83% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 10 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 46% | 20% | 35% | 8% | 33% | 21% |
| Draws | 23% | 40% | 30% | 58% | 17% | 38% |
| Loses | 31% | 40% | 35% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWDWLWDWLDWW • AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDDDLWDLWWLDDL
League goals
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 8 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 11 | 15 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bugesera | AS Kigali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 61% | 58% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 30% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bugesera | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Bugesera or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bugesera = 1.34 (league 1.16), AS Kigali = 0.97 (league 0.93)
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bugesera | 0 | 9.9% | 9.6% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 26.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1