Liga 3 — Portugal
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:00 • Amarante Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.23) 0.94 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 34.0% 38.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.6%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 18.6% 17.6% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack100%100%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Amarante Guimaraes B
HATHAT
Played111223121224
Wins55%50%52%42%50%46%
Draws27%17%22%17%33%25%
Loses18%33%26%42%17%29%

Form: Amarante: LWDLDLLWWDLWWWWWDDLWWWW • Guimaraes B: DLWDDLDLWWWWDLWLWWLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Amarante Guimaraes B
HATHAT
GF total141226161329
GF avg1.31.01.11.31.11.2
GA total10112114822
GA avg0.90.90.91.20.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmaranteGuimaraes B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%57%79%54%
1.530%30%33%29%
2.513%4%8%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
HATHAT
Clean sheets55106511
Failed to score257145

Penalties

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Wins54
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-23-01-31-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricAmaranteGuimaraes B
Form55%45%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h64%36%
Goals62%38%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Amarante or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Amarante = 0.74 (league 1.23), Guimaraes B = 0.94 (league 1.05)

Guimaraes B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Amarante 0 18.6% 17.6% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.0% 6.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 38.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1