Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Serie D - Girone D — Italy

Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Tre Stelle

Not Started

Desenzano Calvina

—

Cittadella Vis Modena

Expected Goals

1.33 (league 1.20) 0.47 (league 1.15)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
58.2%	28.6%	13.0%

best score tips

1 - 0

22.0%

0 - 0

16.5%

2 - 0

14.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Cittadella Vis Modena
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Desenzano Calvina	0	16.5%	7.7%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	22.0%	10.3%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	14.7%	6.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	6.5%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Cittadella Vis Modena
Played	5	5
Form	73%	60%
Attack	60%	50%
Defense	70%	70%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%

FT probability

2.5+

44%

FT probability

3.5+

31%

FT probability

BTTS

61%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Cittadella Vis Modena
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	13	27	14	13	27
Wins	57%	77%	67%	64%	23%	44%
Draws	29%	15%	22%	21%	46%	33%
Loses	14%	8%	11%	14%	31%	22%

Form: Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWDW • Cittadella Vis Modena: WWLWLLLWWWDDWDWLDWDLDWWWDDD

League goals

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Cittadella Vis Modena
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	28	21	49	23	8	31
GF avg	2.0	1.6	1.8	1.6	0.6	1.1
GA total	13	6	19	10	11	21
GA avg	0.9	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.8	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Desenzano Calvina		Cittadella Vis Modena
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	78%	56%	67%	63%
1.5	67%	11%	37%	15%
2.5	26%	4%	11%	0%
3.5	7%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Desenzano Calvina			Cittadella Vis Modena
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	5	7	12	5	5	10
Failed to score	3	3	6	3	6	9

Penalties

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Cittadella Vis Modena
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2

Streaks

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Cittadella Vis Modena
Wins	5	3
Draws	2	2
Losses	1	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	0-3	3-0	1-2
Biggest losses	0-1	1-0	1-2	2-0
Goals For	5	3	3	2
Goals Against	3	1	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Cittadella Vis Modena
Form	55%	45%
Att	55%	45%
Def	50%	50%
Poisson Distribution	72%	28%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	56.4%	43.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Desenzano Calvina or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet

Draw3.50 @ 1xBet

Away4.74 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.61 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 1xBet

No1.70 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

1xBet Updated: 2026-03-21T18:16:05+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.68
Draw	3.50
Away	4.74

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.26
Away +0	3.40
Home -1.5	2.82
Away -1.5	1.34
Home -2.5	5.85
Away -2.5	1.10

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.36
Under 1.5	2.74
Over 2.5	2.13
Under 2.5	1.61
Over 3.5	3.70
Under 3.5	1.22
Over 4.5	6.85
Under 4.5	1.07
Over 5.5	11.00
Under 5.5	1.01

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.09
No	1.70

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.70
2:0	4.50
2:1	5.60
3:0	8.00
3:1	9.80
3:2	24.00
4:0	19.00
4:1	24.00
0:0	5.32
1:1	4.40
2:2	13.00
0:1	6.80
0:2	16.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	10.00
1:3	40.00
2:3	50.00
3:3	90.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	60.00
5:1	70.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.96
Under 1.5	1.75
Over 2.5	3.80
Under 2.5	1.21
Over 0.5	1.20
Under 0.5	3.90

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.25
Under 1.5	1.17
Over 2.5	10.00
Under 2.5	1.02
Over 0.5	1.70
Under 0.5	2.03

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.88
Even	1.82

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.93
Even	1.78

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.28
Even	1.56

Betano Updated: 2026-03-21T18:16:05+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.67
Draw	3.35
Away	4.60

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.26
Away	3.15

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.02
Draw	2.37
Away	4.65

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.82
Away -0.75	1.78

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.85
Under 2.25	1.78
Over 2.5	2.07
Under 2.5	1.60

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.44
Under 0.5	2.30
Over 0.75	1.62
Under 0.75	1.95

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	55.00
Draw/Away	9.25
Draw/Draw	4.70
Home/Home	2.62
Draw/Home	4.05
Away/Home	27.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	8.25

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.55
2:0	5.50
2:1	6.50
3:0	9.25
3:1	10.75
3:2	22.00
4:0	19.00
4:1	23.00
0:0	7.90
1:1	5.30
2:2	13.50
0:1	8.00
0:2	17.00
0:3	50.00
1:2	11.50
1:3	32.00
2:3	40.00
3:3	65.00
0:4	175.00
1:4	120.00
2:4	150.00
4:2	45.00
3:4	250.00
5:0	50.00
5:1	55.00
5:2	120.00
6:0	150.00
6:1	175.00
6:2	350.00
4:3	120.00
5:3	350.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.10
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	2.02

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	2.70
2:0	5.80
2:1	12.50
3:0	16.50
3:1	35.00
3:2	120.00
4:0	60.00
4:1	120.00
0:0	2.30
1:1	5.70
2:2	45.00
0:1	4.45
0:2	16.00
0:3	75.00
1:2	20.00
1:3	100.00
2:3	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.17
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.95

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.30
Draw	2.00
Away	5.00

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.78
Away -0.25	1.75

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.15
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.50

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.32
Away	2.75

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.31
Away	2.82

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Desenzano Calvina vs Cittadella Vis Modena

Expected goals (λ): Desenzano Calvina = 1.33 (league 1.20), Cittadella Vis Modena = 0.47 (league 1.15)

		Cittadella Vis Modena
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Desenzano Calvina	0	16.5%	7.7%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	22.0%	10.3%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	14.7%	6.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	6.5%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	2.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 13.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Desenzano Calvina	Cittadella Vis Modena
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 100.00%	2 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	4	2