Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Nicola
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.45)
1.20 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.3% | 24.9% | 29.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Carrarese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bari | 0 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 64% | 50% |
| Defense | 43% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 13% | 23% | 38% | 13% | 26% |
| Draws | 33% | 31% | 32% | 38% | 40% | 39% |
| Loses | 33% | 56% | 45% | 25% | 47% | 35% |
BariLDLLDDWLWWDLLDDDLDLLWLLDLDWWLWL
CarrareseWDDLDDWDWLLDDLLWLDWWWLDLLLDDLDW
League goals
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 12 | 30 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 18 | 29 | 47 | 14 | 28 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bari | Carrarese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 81% | 65% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 42% | 39% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 19% | 19% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bari | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.66 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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