Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Anxo Carro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.37) 0.64 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.2% 27.5% 16.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Arenas Getxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 13.0% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLugoArenas Getxo
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack42%25%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lugo Arenas Getxo
HATHAT
Played141428131427
Wins57%14%36%62%14%37%
Draws21%57%39%15%14%15%
Loses21%29%25%23%71%48%

Form: Lugo: LDLWLWDWDDDDWLDDWWWLWLDWDWDL • Arenas Getxo: WDLLWLDLWLWDLWWLLLWLWWLLLWD

League goals

Metric Lugo Arenas Getxo
HATHAT
GF total17102723831
GF avg1.20.71.01.80.61.1
GA total151227152338
GA avg1.10.91.01.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLugoArenas Getxo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%61%59%85%
1.529%25%37%41%
2.50%7%15%11%
3.50%4%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLugoArenas Getxo
HATHAT
Clean sheets7411314
Failed to score3692911

Penalties

MetricLugoArenas Getxo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLugoArenas Getxo
Wins32
Draws41
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-12-3
Biggest losses0-42-01-43-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricLugoArenas Getxo
Form67%33%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total54.2%46.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lugo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ BetVictor
Draw3.40 @ Betfair
Away4.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lugo = 1.40 (league 1.37), Arenas Getxo = 0.64 (league 1.04)

Arenas Getxo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lugo 0 13.0% 8.3% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.6% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.8% 8.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 16.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1