Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 15:45 • Estadio El Pilar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.49) 0.84 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 34.8% 33.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Escobedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 19.4% 16.2% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuarnizoEscobedo
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack33%47%
Defense87%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guarnizo Escobedo
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%46%50%77%46%62%
Draws23%31%27%0%8%4%
Loses23%23%23%23%46%35%

Form: Guarnizo: LWDLDLDWWLWDWWWWDLWWWLWDWD • Escobedo: WWDWLWLWWWLLWWLLWWWWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Guarnizo Escobedo
HATHAT
GF total151833341549
GF avg1.21.41.32.61.21.9
GA total111122201333
GA avg0.80.80.81.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuarnizoEscobedo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%81%69%
1.538%15%54%42%
2.512%12%35%12%
3.50%4%12%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuarnizoEscobedo
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512358
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricGuarnizoEscobedo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGuarnizoEscobedo
Wins44
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-36-00-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-43-1
Goals For2363
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricGuarnizoEscobedo
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals23%77%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Escobedo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Betano
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away2.80 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.82 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guarnizo = 0.80 (league 1.49), Escobedo = 0.84 (league 1.15)

Escobedo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guarnizo 0 19.4% 16.2% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.6% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 34.8% · Away win 33.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1