Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.48)
0.22 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.5% | 32.3% | 7.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.2%
0 - 0
25.5%
2 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Alianza Atletico | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UTC Cajamarca | 0 | 25.4% | 5.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.2% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.8% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 54% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Loses | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
UTC CajamarcaWWWDLWL
Alianza AtleticoWLDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 57% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | 14% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UTC Cajamarca | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.10 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away4.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.20 @ 188Bet
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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