Primera A — Colombia
Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 01:00 • Estadio Municipal de Cota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.52 (league 1.11) 1.42 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.1% 18.3% 20.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack46%85%
Defense23%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Played57127512
Wins60%0%25%71%40%58%
Draws40%43%42%29%20%25%
Loses0%57%33%0%40%17%

Form: Fortaleza FC: WDDDDLWLDWLL • Deportivo Pasto: WWWLDWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Fortaleza FC Deportivo Pasto
HATHAT
GF total761311718
GF avg1.40.91.11.61.41.5
GA total4141841014
GA avg0.82.01.50.62.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%83%58%
1.525%33%58%33%
2.50%17%8%17%
3.50%17%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Wins13
Draws42
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—2-01-2
Biggest losses—4-1—3-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against1424

Model comparison

MetricFortaleza FCDeportivo Pasto
Form29%71%
Att35%65%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportivo Pasto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Bet365
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fortaleza FC = 2.52 (league 1.11), Deportivo Pasto = 1.42 (league 0.79)

Deportivo Pasto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fortaleza FC 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.9% 7.0% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.2% 7.4% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.6% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.1% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 20.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1