Wed, Mar 25 2026 • 19:45 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.52) 1.75 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.0% 23.5% 53.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
0 - 1
10.9%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 6.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.9%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.3% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeHartlepool
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack85%38%
Defense46%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Hartlepool
HATHAT
Played192039201838
Wins21%20%21%40%39%39%
Draws26%25%26%30%33%32%
Loses53%55%54%30%28%29%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLDLWDLWWDL • Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLLDWDWDWWLDLWLWWDLDLWWLLWW

League goals

Metric Morecambe Hartlepool
HATHAT
GF total253257232144
GF avg1.31.61.51.21.21.2
GA total364581192140
GA avg1.92.32.11.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeHartlepool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%68%61%
1.541%62%32%26%
2.518%36%13%16%
3.515%18%3%3%
4.53%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeHartlepool
HATHAT
Clean sheets3367815
Failed to score66126612

Penalties

MetricMorecambeHartlepool
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricMorecambeHartlepool
Wins23
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-53-00-2
Biggest losses2-55-00-34-0
Goals For4534
Goals Against5534

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeHartlepool
Form44%56%
Att69%31%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h64%36%
Goals64%36%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Morecambe or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.03 (league 1.52), Hartlepool = 1.75 (league 1.30)

Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 6.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.6% 2.4% 0.9%
1 6.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.3% 5.7% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3% 0.5%
3 1.1% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2%
4 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.0% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 53.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1