Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 — Greece

Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Alexandreia

1 - 3

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

Expected Goals

1.40 (league 1.39) 2.98 (league 1.13)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
15.0%	15.3%	61.3%

best score tips

1 - 2

7.8%

1 - 3

7.7%

1 - 4

5.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alexandreia	0	1.2%	3.7%	5.5%	5.5%	4.1%	2.4%
	1	1.8%	5.2%	7.8%	7.7%	5.8%	3.4%
	2	1.2%	3.7%	5.5%	5.4%	4.0%	2.4%
	3	0.6%	1.7%	2.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.1%
	4	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Alexandreia	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Played	5	5
Form	33%	87%
Attack	29%	62%
Defense	71%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	13 \| 2.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%

FT probability

2.5+

63%

FT probability

3.5+

45%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Alexandreia			Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	11	12	23	12	11	23
Wins	45%	25%	35%	75%	55%	65%
Draws	18%	25%	22%	17%	36%	26%
Loses	36%	50%	43%	8%	9%	9%

Form: Alexandreia: LLDDWLWLWWLWWLLWDLLDWDL • Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: WDWDWLLWDWDDWWWWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric	Alexandreia			Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	14	12	26	28	26	54
GF avg	1.3	1.0	1.1	2.3	2.4	2.3
GA total	15	17	32	9	17	26
GA avg	1.4	1.4	1.4	0.8	1.5	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Alexandreia		Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	48%	74%	96%	70%
1.5	43%	35%	61%	39%
2.5	17%	22%	48%	4%
3.5	4%	9%	22%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	9%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Alexandreia			Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	2	6	5	2	7
Failed to score	5	7	12	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	Alexandreia	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Alexandreia	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Wins	2	9
Draws	2	2
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-4	5-1	0-4
Biggest losses	0-4	4-0	0-2	2-1
Goals For	3	4	5	4
Goals Against	4	4	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	Alexandreia	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Form	28%	72%
Att	32%	68%
Def	54%	46%
Poisson Distribution	32%	68%
H2h	20%	80%
Goals	25%	75%
Total	31.8%	68.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Alexandreia vs Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

Expected goals (λ): Alexandreia = 1.40 (league 1.39), Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou = 2.98 (league 1.13)

		Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Alexandreia	0	1.2%	3.7%	5.5%	5.5%	4.1%	2.4%
	1	1.8%	5.2%	7.8%	7.7%	5.8%	3.4%
	2	1.2%	3.7%	5.5%	5.4%	4.0%	2.4%
	3	0.6%	1.7%	2.6%	2.5%	1.9%	1.1%
	4	0.2%	0.6%	0.9%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
	5	0.1%	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.0% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 61.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Alexandreia	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0