Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 13:30 • Tullio Saleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.28) 1.06 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 27.5% 29.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
12.3%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Albinoleffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack19%31%
Defense81%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lumezzane Albinoleffe
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins38%29%33%41%25%33%
Draws31%41%36%18%44%30%
Loses31%29%30%41%31%36%

Form: Lumezzane: LLLLWWLLLDDDDWWDWDDDWWLWLDWWDLDWD • Albinoleffe: DLLDWWWDLLLLDWLDDLWLWDLWDDWDLWWLW

League goals

Metric Lumezzane Albinoleffe
HATHAT
GF total201535241943
GF avg1.30.91.11.41.21.3
GA total151934222143
GA avg0.91.11.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%61%76%73%
1.521%27%42%39%
2.59%9%12%12%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713369
Failed to score268448

Penalties

MetricLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
Wins23
Draws42
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-10-3
Biggest losses2-35-01-35-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricLumezzaneAlbinoleffe
Form40%60%
Att38%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total54.5%45.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lumezzane or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.76 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Unibet
Away2.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lumezzane = 1.32 (league 1.28), Albinoleffe = 1.06 (league 1.02)

Albinoleffe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lumezzane 0 9.3% 9.8% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.3% 12.9% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.6% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 29.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1