Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.46)
1.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 28.5% | 30.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.9%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 10.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 27% |
| Attack | 7% | 43% |
| Defense | 21% | 14% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 0% | 15% | 36% | 15% | 26% |
| Draws | 38% | 31% | 35% | 43% | 38% | 41% |
| Loses | 31% | 69% | 50% | 21% | 46% | 33% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWLLLLLWLLDLDL • Puebla Calzada: LWWDWDLDDWWDDLDLDDLLDWDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 11 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 18 | 27 | 45 | 16 | 20 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 73% | 67% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 42% | 30% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 35% | 7% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 15% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 14% | 86% |
| Def | 52% | 48% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Puebla Calzada
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.23 (league 1.46), Puebla Calzada = 1.03 (league 1.09)
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 10.4% | 10.7% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 13.2% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 30.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1