Azadegan League
— Iran
Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 12:00 •
Shahid Dastgerdi Stadium
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 0.98)
0.44 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.0% | 35.7% | 16.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
1 - 0
23.6%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Havadar | 0 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 10% | 20% |
| Defense | 70% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 10 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 25% | 30% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 14% |
| Draws | 58% | 40% | 50% | 64% | 27% | 45% |
| Loses | 17% | 30% | 23% | 18% | 64% | 41% |
Form: Havadar: DWWDWLLDDDLDWDWDLLDDDW • Navad Urmia: WDLDDWDDLDDWLDLDLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Havadar | Navad Urmia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 45% | 55% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 18% | 5% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 5% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Havadar | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 77% | 23% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Havadar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Havadar = 0.98 (league 0.98), Navad Urmia = 0.44 (league 0.68)
| Navad Urmia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Havadar | 0 | 24.0% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.0% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 16.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1