Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Gian Domenico Tursi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.41) 1.12 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 26.8% 30.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 8.3% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMartina FrancaAfragolese
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%73%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Martina Franca Afragolese
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%43%54%64%29%46%
Draws21%29%25%14%36%25%
Loses14%29%21%21%36%29%

Form: Martina Franca: WWDDWWLWLDLLWDWWWDDLWWWWWWDL • Afragolese: LLDWWWLWWWLWDWDLLLWDWWDDLWDW

League goals

Metric Martina Franca Afragolese
HATHAT
GF total231740251742
GF avg1.61.21.41.81.21.5
GA total121426161733
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMartina FrancaAfragolese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%57%75%68%
1.543%18%46%39%
2.521%14%18%11%
3.54%4%7%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMartina FrancaAfragolese
HATHAT
Clean sheets8412639
Failed to score347257

Penalties

MetricMartina FrancaAfragolese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMartina FrancaAfragolese
Wins63
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-20-4
Biggest losses0-43-22-33-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against4333

Model comparison

MetricMartina FrancaAfragolese
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h13%88%
Goals17%83%
Total41.0%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Afragolese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Dafabet
Draw3.40 @ Superbet
Away3.90 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Martina Franca = 1.37 (league 1.41), Afragolese = 1.12 (league 0.96)

Afragolese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Martina Franca 0 8.3% 9.3% 5.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.7% 7.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.7% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 30.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1