Ligue 2 — Tunisia
Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.42) 1.08 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.4% 31.8% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sfax Railways
0 1 2 3 4 5
EM Mahdia 0 15.9% 17.2% 9.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEM MahdiaSfax Railways
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack20%90%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric EM Mahdia Sfax Railways
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%20%32%60%33%47%
Draws11%50%32%20%33%26%
Loses44%30%37%20%33%26%

Form: EM Mahdia: WDDLLLWWDLDWLWLDDWL • Sfax Railways: DLLWDLLDWLWWWDWDWWW

League goals

Metric EM Mahdia Sfax Railways
HATHAT
GF total881617825
GF avg0.90.80.81.70.91.3
GA total9101981119
GA avg1.01.01.00.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEM MahdiaSfax Railways
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%63%63%53%
1.521%26%47%26%
2.55%11%21%11%
3.55%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEM MahdiaSfax Railways
HATHAT
Clean sheets347639
Failed to score369347

Penalties

MetricEM MahdiaSfax Railways
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricEM MahdiaSfax Railways
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-03-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-00-24-0
Goals For2432
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricEM MahdiaSfax Railways
Form28%72%
Att18%82%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sfax Railways and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Dafabet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.13 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): EM Mahdia = 0.76 (league 1.42), Sfax Railways = 1.08 (league 0.83)

Sfax Railways
0 1 2 3 4 5
EM Mahdia 0 15.9% 17.2% 9.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.0% 7.0% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 4.6% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.4% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 42.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1