Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 15:00 • Lezama Facilities
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.50) 2.32 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.9% 18.1% 64.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.2%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 3.8% 8.8% 10.2% 7.9% 4.6% 2.1%
1 3.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack55%82%
Defense0%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%33%35%42%45%43%
Draws36%33%35%42%27%35%
Loses27%33%30%17%27%22%

Form: Athletic Club W: DLLDDDLDDWDWWWDWLWLLWWL • Atletico Madrid W: WWWDWDLDWWWLDDDLLDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Athletic Club W Atletico Madrid W
HATHAT
GF total121325262349
GF avg1.11.11.12.22.12.1
GA total172138171431
GA avg1.51.81.71.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%61%83%61%
1.522%26%52%30%
2.59%22%30%13%
3.59%22%30%13%
4.54%13%17%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
HATHAT
Clean sheets549549
Failed to score448314

Penalties

MetricAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
Wins33
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-55-00-5
Biggest losses1-87-10-65-0
Goals For4555
Goals Against8765

Model comparison

MetricAthletic Club WAtletico Madrid W
Form38%63%
Att40%60%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h29%71%
Goals22%78%
Total29.3%70.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Madrid W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away1.96 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ SBO
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club W = 0.95 (league 1.50), Atletico Madrid W = 2.32 (league 1.36)

Atletico Madrid W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club W 0 3.8% 8.8% 10.2% 7.9% 4.6% 2.1%
1 3.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.5% 4.4% 2.0%
2 1.7% 4.0% 4.6% 3.6% 2.1% 1.0%
3 0.5% 1.3% 1.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 64.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1