Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 16:30 • Dreisamstadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.81) 1.62 (league 1.55)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 24.2% 43.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
9.1%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
1899 Hoffenheim W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.2% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack31%38%
Defense15%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Freiburg W 1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins64%20%43%45%60%52%
Draws18%10%14%18%0%10%
Loses18%70%43%36%40%38%

Form: SC Freiburg W: DWWLWWLLLWWLDWLWLDLWL • 1899 Hoffenheim W: WWLDWLWLWLLWWWDWLWWLL

League goals

Metric SC Freiburg W 1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
GF total241034191837
GF avg2.21.01.61.71.81.8
GA total151934151126
GA avg1.41.91.61.41.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%71%71%67%
1.548%48%43%33%
2.524%29%38%10%
3.55%14%19%10%
4.55%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score145426

Penalties

MetricSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%6 | 85.71%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%1 | 14.29%
Total37

Streaks

MetricSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
Wins23
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-35-11-4
Biggest losses1-44-01-52-0
Goals For6354
Goals Against4452

Model comparison

MetricSC Freiburg W1899 Hoffenheim W
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h40%60%
Goals41%59%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or 1899 Hoffenheim W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Freiburg W = 1.34 (league 1.81), 1899 Hoffenheim W = 1.62 (league 1.55)

1899 Hoffenheim W
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Freiburg W 0 5.2% 8.4% 6.8% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%
1 6.9% 11.2% 9.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.6% 7.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 43.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1