Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 17:00 •
Campo de Fútbol Ibaiondo
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.48)
0.51 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5% | 22.3% | 10.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
16.0%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Eibar III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 82% | 45% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 43% | 50% | 36% | 14% | 25% |
| Draws | 7% | 21% | 14% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
| Loses | 36% | 36% | 36% | 43% | 64% | 54% |
Form: Derio: WLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWDWWWL • Eibar III: WLWLDLWLLLLDLLDLWDDLWLWWDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 22 | 45 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 23 | 34 | 23 | 22 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derio | Eibar III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 71% | 54% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 32% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 18% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 7% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-2 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derio | Eibar III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 53.2% | 46.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Derio or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Derio = 1.73 (league 1.48), Eibar III = 0.51 (league 1.10)
| Eibar III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derio | 0 | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.4% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 10.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1