Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Buitoni
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.26) 0.89 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.6% 37.1% 42.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 24.4% 21.7% 9.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack25%50%
Defense25%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sansepolcro Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins14%0%7%27%36%31%
Draws50%33%41%53%36%45%
Loses36%67%52%20%29%24%

Form: Sansepolcro: WLDDDDLLLLLWDLLDDLLDDLLDLDDLL • Montevarchi Calcio: LDLWDDLWDLLWDLWWDDDLDWDWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Sansepolcro Montevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
GF total8715131326
GF avg0.60.50.50.90.90.9
GA total142640151530
GA avg1.01.71.41.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%79%62%55%
1.57%45%21%24%
2.50%7%7%17%
3.50%3%0%7%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
HATHAT
Clean sheets5166713
Failed to score79166511

Penalties

MetricSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
Wins12
Draws43
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-25-00-43-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2544

Model comparison

MetricSansepolcroMontevarchi Calcio
Form18%82%
Att33%67%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total28.5%71.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Montevarchi Calcio and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away2.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Marathonbet
No1.72 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sansepolcro = 0.52 (league 1.26), Montevarchi Calcio = 0.89 (league 1.01)

Montevarchi Calcio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sansepolcro 0 24.4% 21.7% 9.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 12.8% 11.3% 5.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.6% · Draw 37.1% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1