Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Focus Community Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.53) 0.95 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 30.2% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.1%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 12.8% 12.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack50%79%
Defense86%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Chesham United
HATHAT
Played202141212041
Wins60%43%51%52%40%46%
Draws20%19%20%14%25%20%
Loses20%38%29%33%35%34%

Form: Hemel Hempstead Town: DWDWLWDDWWLWWWLDWWLLDLWWWLWLDLWLLWWWWWWLD • Chesham United: WWDDLLDDLWDWLWWDLLLWLWWLWWDWWWWLDLWLLWLWW

League goals

Metric Hemel Hempstead Town Chesham United
HATHAT
GF total252449322557
GF avg1.31.11.21.51.31.4
GA total182442202646
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%56%76%73%
1.534%32%32%32%
2.515%10%17%7%
3.50%5%15%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
HATHAT
Clean sheets117187411
Failed to score57125510

Penalties

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
Wins64
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-01-4
Biggest losses0-44-01-23-0
Goals For3344
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricHemel Hempstead TownChesham United
Form53%47%
Att39%61%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h33%67%
Goals50%50%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chesham United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 10Bet
Away2.90 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hemel Hempstead Town = 1.10 (league 1.53), Chesham United = 0.95 (league 1.23)

Chesham United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hemel Hempstead Town 0 12.8% 12.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.1% 13.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 7.8% 7.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 30.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1