Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:00 • Stade Armand Cesari
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.39) 1.31 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.4% 28.9% 53.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.1%
0 - 0
14.6%
0 - 2
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Amiens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 14.6% 19.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBastiaAmiens
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack20%25%
Defense65%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bastia Amiens
HATHAT
Played131427141428
Wins15%7%11%14%29%21%
Draws31%50%41%21%14%18%
Loses54%43%48%64%57%61%

Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDLDLD • Amiens: DWLDDWLLLWWLLLLLWLLDLWLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Bastia Amiens
HATHAT
GF total7815161733
GF avg0.50.60.61.11.21.2
GA total171431262450
GA avg1.31.01.11.91.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBastiaAmiens
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.541%67%64%82%
1.515%37%36%50%
2.50%11%14%25%
3.50%0%4%14%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBastiaAmiens
HATHAT
Clean sheets549235
Failed to score79166410

Penalties

MetricBastiaAmiens
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricBastiaAmiens
Wins22
Draws42
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-30-3
Biggest losses1-32-01-46-2
Goals For2243
Goals Against3246

Model comparison

MetricBastiaAmiens
Form75%25%
Att44%56%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total47.0%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Amiens

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 188Bet
Draw3.74 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betano
No1.87 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.78 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 0.61 (league 1.39), Amiens = 1.31 (league 1.19)

Amiens
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 14.6% 19.1% 12.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.8% 3.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.4% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 53.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1