Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 • Ammanford Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.71) 0.71 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 27.5% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 12.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmmanford AFCNewport City
Played55
Form87%20%
Attack48%17%
Defense83%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ammanford AFC Newport City
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins64%43%54%29%36%32%
Draws29%36%32%50%21%36%
Loses7%21%14%21%43%32%

Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWLLDWLWWWDW • Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWWDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Ammanford AFC Newport City
HATHAT
GF total232043191736
GF avg1.61.41.51.41.21.3
GA total121325182139
GA avg0.90.90.91.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmmanford AFCNewport City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%54%71%75%
1.539%21%39%36%
2.521%11%14%18%
3.57%4%4%11%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmmanford AFCNewport City
HATHAT
Clean sheets6713347
Failed to score347358

Penalties

MetricAmmanford AFCNewport City
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAmmanford AFCNewport City
Wins42
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-52-11-3
Biggest losses0-43-12-34-0
Goals For6543
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricAmmanford AFCNewport City
Form81%19%
Att73%27%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h13%88%
Goals29%71%
Total55.5%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ammanford AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Superbet
Draw4.53 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Superbet
No2.05 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 1.40 (league 1.71), Newport City = 0.71 (league 1.51)

Newport City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 12.0% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.9% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1