Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 • Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.29) 0.85 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 28.8% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.2%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cittadella
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Brescia 0 11.8% 10.1% 4.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.2% 12.9% 5.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.7% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.1% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion BresciaCittadella
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack8%54%
Defense85%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Brescia Cittadella
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins47%47%47%47%47%47%
Draws29%41%35%35%12%24%
Loses24%12%18%18%41%29%
Union BresciaLWWWWDDDWWWWLDDDLWWWWDLWDWLWWLDDDD
CittadellaDWLLLLDDWWWWWWWDLDWWLDLLWLWWDDWWLW

League goals

Metric Union Brescia Cittadella
HATHAT
GF total261844241842
GF avg1.51.11.31.41.11.2
GA total14822171936
GA avg0.80.50.61.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion BresciaCittadella
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%53%74%71%
1.538%12%38%24%
2.515%0%9%9%
3.53%0%3%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion BresciaCittadella
HATHAT
Clean sheets610164610
Failed to score5510459

Penalties

MetricUnion BresciaCittadella
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricUnion BresciaCittadella
Wins47
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-14-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricUnion BresciaCittadella
Form29%71%
Att13%88%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.7%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ SBO
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.97 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
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League standings

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