Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Santa Ana
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.37) 0.98 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.0% 28.2% 28.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.3%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Utebo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 10.4% 10.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGernikaUtebo
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack30%40%
Defense30%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gernika Utebo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%20%38%53%43%48%
Draws14%27%21%33%7%21%
Loses29%53%41%13%50%31%

Form: Gernika: LLWWDWWWDWLDLWDLWLWWWLLDLLLLD • Utebo: DWWWLWWWLDWWLDLLLWWWWLWDDLDWL

League goals

Metric Gernika Utebo
HATHAT
GF total161531331851
GF avg1.11.01.12.21.31.8
GA total112637172239
GA avg0.81.71.31.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGernikaUtebo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%59%86%69%
1.528%38%55%38%
2.53%24%28%21%
3.53%7%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGernikaUtebo
HATHAT
Clean sheets10212459
Failed to score268224

Penalties

MetricGernikaUtebo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricGernikaUtebo
Wins34
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-02-34-0
Goals For2443
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricGernikaUtebo
Form17%83%
Att43%57%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Utebo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Gernika = 1.28 (league 1.37), Utebo = 0.98 (league 1.06)

Utebo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gernika 0 10.4% 10.2% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.1% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.5% 8.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.0% Ā· Draw 28.2% Ā· Away win 28.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1