Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:00 • CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.55) 1.23 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 27.4% 36.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 1
10.7%
1 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Braga W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP W 0 8.7% 10.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP WBraga W
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack60%60%
Defense80%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP W Braga W
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins50%63%57%0%57%29%
Draws33%25%29%71%14%43%
Loses17%13%14%29%29%29%

Form: Sporting CP W: WWDWLDWDWDWWWL • Braga W: LDLWWDLDLWDWDD

League goals

Metric Sporting CP W Braga W
HATHAT
GF total10192941620
GF avg1.72.42.10.62.31.4
GA total56116814
GA avg0.80.80.80.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP WBraga W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%50%79%57%
1.557%21%36%36%
2.536%7%14%7%
3.514%0%7%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP WBraga W
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricSporting CP WBraga W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSporting CP WBraga W
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-6—2-5
Biggest losses2-32-01-23-2
Goals For3615
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP WBraga W
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Braga W and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP W = 1.21 (league 1.55), Braga W = 1.23 (league 1.49)

Braga W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP W 0 8.7% 10.7% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.5% 13.0% 8.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.4% 7.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
3 2.6% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.5% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 36.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1