FA Cup — England
Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 16:15 • Stamford Bridge
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.76) 1.24 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.6% 30.3% 54.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.0%
0 - 0
17.8%
0 - 2
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 17.8% 22.0% 13.6% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaPort Vale
Played35
Form100%100%
Attack93%64%
Defense79%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 4.39 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Port Vale
HATHAT
Played033505
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Chelsea: WWW • Port Vale: WWWWW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total01313909
GF avg0.04.34.31.80.01.8
GA total033101
GA avg0.01.01.00.20.00.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%100%20%
1.5100%33%20%0%
2.5100%0%20%0%
3.5100%0%20%0%
4.533%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricChelseaPort Vale
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricChelseaPort Vale
Wins35
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-55-1—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0550
Goals Against0210

Model comparison

MetricChelseaPort Vale
Form38%63%
Att59%41%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total40.7%59.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Port Vale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.10 @ 888Sport
Draw17.00 @ 1xBet
Away41.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ 888Sport
Under 2.54.40 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.67 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 0.49 (league 1.76), Port Vale = 1.24 (league 1.45)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 17.8% 22.0% 13.6% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4%
1 8.7% 10.8% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.6% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 54.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1