Newcastle Town vs Kidsgrove Athletic

Non League Div One - Northern West — England

Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 • Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium

Match Finished

Newcastle Town

3 - 1

Kidsgrove Athletic

Expected Goals

1.58 (league 1.59) 1.23 (league 1.37)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
45.0%	24.8%	29.5%

best score tips

1 - 1

11.7%

1 - 0

9.5%

2 - 1

9.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Kidsgrove Athletic
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Newcastle Town	0	6.0%	7.4%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	9.5%	11.7%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	7.5%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	4.0%	4.9%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Newcastle Town	Kidsgrove Athletic
Played	5	5
Form	40%	20%
Attack	47%	33%
Defense	27%	33%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	11 \| 2.2	10 \| 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%

FT probability

2.5+

57%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Newcastle Town			Kidsgrove Athletic
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	18	18	36	18	18	36
Wins	33%	22%	28%	44%	11%	28%
Draws	33%	17%	25%	22%	39%	31%
Loses	33%	61%	47%	33%	50%	42%

Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWDWLLDLDLLLLWDDWWDDLLLWW • Kidsgrove Athletic: WLWDWLDLWDLDWDLWDLLWLWDLLLWDWLLLLDDD

League goals

Metric	Newcastle Town			Kidsgrove Athletic
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	21	12	33	26	26	52
GF avg	1.2	0.7	0.9	1.4	1.4	1.4
GA total	21	29	50	24	37	61
GA avg	1.2	1.6	1.4	1.3	2.1	1.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Newcastle Town		Kidsgrove Athletic
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	50%	67%	78%	86%
1.5	25%	33%	42%	50%
2.5	14%	28%	19%	28%
3.5	3%	6%	6%	6%
4.5	0%	6%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Newcastle Town			Kidsgrove Athletic
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	7	5	12	4	1	5
Failed to score	8	10	18	4	4	8

Penalties

Metric	Newcastle Town	Kidsgrove Athletic
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Newcastle Town	Kidsgrove Athletic
Wins	2	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	4	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	1-3	4-2	1-4
Biggest losses	0-5	5-0	1-3	4-1
Goals For	4	3	4	4
Goals Against	5	5	4	4

Model comparison

Metric	Newcastle Town	Kidsgrove Athletic
Form	67%	33%
Att	58%	42%
Def	48%	52%
Poisson Distribution	54%	46%
H2h	71%	29%
Goals	62%	38%
Total	60.0%	40.0%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Newcastle Town vs Kidsgrove Athletic

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 1.58 (league 1.59), Kidsgrove Athletic = 1.23 (league 1.37)

		Kidsgrove Athletic
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Newcastle Town	0	6.0%	7.4%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	9.5%	11.7%	7.2%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	7.5%	9.3%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%
	3	4.0%	4.9%	3.0%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%
	4	1.6%	1.9%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%
	5	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 29.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Newcastle Town	Kidsgrove Athletic
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0