Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:45 • De Vijverberg
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.08 (league 1.74) 2.31 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 19.5% 41.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.2%
1 - 2
6.9%
2 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack50%63%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric De Graafschap Jong AZ
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins47%47%47%18%47%32%
Draws18%29%24%12%12%12%
Loses35%24%29%71%41%56%

Form: De Graafschap: WLLLDWDWDLDWWWWLWWWLWLLDDWWWDLWLWD • Jong AZ: LLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLLDWW

League goals

Metric De Graafschap Jong AZ
HATHAT
GF total323163243559
GF avg1.91.81.91.42.11.7
GA total282553343266
GA avg1.61.51.62.01.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDe GraafschapJong AZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%76%85%
1.565%47%53%59%
2.529%18%32%32%
3.56%6%12%18%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score145538

Penalties

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Wins42
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-01-4
Biggest losses1-42-00-44-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricDe GraafschapJong AZ
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : De Graafschap or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ 10Bet
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.30 @ 10Bet
No3.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): De Graafschap = 2.08 (league 1.74), Jong AZ = 2.31 (league 1.45)

Jong AZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
De Graafschap 0 1.2% 2.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
1 2.6% 6.0% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
2 2.7% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.9% 4.3% 5.0% 3.8% 2.2% 1.0%
4 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5%
5 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 41.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1