Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 18:45 •
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.28)
1.35 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 27.6% | 44.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| AC Milan | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Napoli | 0 | 9.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 57% | 43% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 16 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 71% | 56% | 63% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Draws | 29% | 6% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 30% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
NapoliWWWWLWLWWDLWWWLWWDDDWLWWDLWWWW
AC MilanLWWWWDWDDWDWWWDWWDDWWDWWDLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 21 | 46 | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Napoli | AC Milan | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 67% | 90% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 30% | 47% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 3% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Napoli | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 53.7% | 46.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.59 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Dafabet
Away3.34 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.98 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
Loading standings…