A-League — Australia
Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 09:00 • AAMI Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.56) 1.11 (league 1.44)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 25.0% 26.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack43%50%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Melbourne City Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Played101222121022
Wins40%25%32%25%40%32%
Draws20%50%36%50%10%32%
Loses40%25%32%25%50%36%

Form: Melbourne City: DWDWLDWLDLDWLWLDDLLWDW • Central Coast Mariners: WLDWLDLLLLWLDDWWWDWDLD

League goals

Metric Melbourne City Central Coast Mariners
HATHAT
GF total131225151631
GF avg1.31.01.11.31.61.4
GA total101828151934
GA avg1.01.51.31.31.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%59%82%77%
1.527%27%36%55%
2.59%23%18%18%
3.55%9%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Wins13
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-23-20-4
Biggest losses1-36-21-24-1
Goals For4234
Goals Against3624

Model comparison

MetricMelbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
Form54%46%
Att46%54%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Central Coast Mariners

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.83 @ 1xBet
Away7.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Melbourne City = 1.59 (league 1.56), Central Coast Mariners = 1.11 (league 1.44)

Central Coast Mariners
0 1 2 3 4 5
Melbourne City 0 6.7% 7.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.9% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 26.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1