League One — England
Tue, Apr 7 2026 • 18:45 • Vale Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.46) 0.76 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.8% 34.0% 28.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.5%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 18.5% 14.0% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeRotherham
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack23%15%
Defense38%15%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Rotherham
HATHAT
Played191938201939
Wins16%21%18%30%16%23%
Draws37%16%26%40%11%26%
Loses47%63%55%30%74%51%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDLLDLLLWLLWLDLDWDLDLWLL • Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWLLLLWDLDLLD

League goals

Metric Port Vale Rotherham
HATHAT
GF total161329221335
GF avg0.80.70.81.10.70.9
GA total233154263258
GA avg1.21.61.41.31.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeRotherham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.547%74%56%77%
1.521%37%26%44%
2.53%21%5%21%
3.53%8%3%5%
4.53%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeRotherham
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510639
Failed to score10102061117

Penalties

MetricPort ValeRotherham
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPort ValeRotherham
Wins33
Draws23
Losses47

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-23-00-4
Biggest losses0-35-00-35-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeRotherham
Form67%33%
Att60%40%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals45%55%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Port Vale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.79 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ Superbet
Away2.85 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.93 (league 1.46), Rotherham = 0.76 (league 1.11)

Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 18.5% 14.0% 5.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.0% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.8% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1