Wed, Apr 8 2026 • 19:15 • Stadio Fonte dellOvo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.37) 0.39 (league 1.38)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.2% 37.5% 15.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.9%
1 - 0
24.8%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tre Penne 0 27.3% 10.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.9% 9.6% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.3% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTre PenneVirtus
Played55
Form87%67%
Attack80%60%
Defense80%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tre Penne Virtus
HATHAT
Played121426141226
Wins67%71%69%86%58%73%
Draws33%14%23%14%25%19%
Loses0%14%8%0%17%8%
Tre PenneWWWDWLDDDWWLWWWWWWWWDWWWWD
VirtusDWWWWWWWWDLWWWDWWDWWWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Tre Penne Virtus
HATHAT
GF total223557352156
GF avg1.82.52.22.51.82.2
GA total312159817
GA avg0.30.90.60.60.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTre PenneVirtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%42%88%46%
1.565%12%77%12%
2.531%4%35%4%
3.515%0%8%4%
4.512%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTre PenneVirtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets96157714
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricTre PenneVirtus
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total73

Streaks

MetricTre PenneVirtus
Wins88
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-66-00-4
Biggest losses—3-0—4-1
Goals For5664
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricTre PenneVirtus
Form57%43%
Att57%43%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total51.8%48.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.49 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.76 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings

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