Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:30 •
The Lamb Ground
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.54)
1.54 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 25.7% | 53.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
| York | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tamworth | 0 | 9.5% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tamworth | York |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 80% |
| Attack | 44% | 56% |
| Defense | 69% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tamworth | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 48% | 27% | 37% | 73% | 71% | 72% |
| Draws | 24% | 23% | 23% | 18% | 19% | 19% |
| Loses | 29% | 50% | 40% | 9% | 10% | 9% |
TamworthLLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWDLDDDDWWLLLWLWWWD
YorkDWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWWWWWWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWLWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Tamworth | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 28 | 57 | 66 | 43 | 109 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 22 | 46 | 68 | 21 | 19 | 40 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tamworth | York | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 95% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 44% | 74% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 19% | 49% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 7% | 28% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 2% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tamworth | York | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tamworth | York |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 11 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 11 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tamworth | York |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 7-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tamworth | York |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.20 @ 10Bet
Draw5.20 @ Dafabet
Away1.43 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.42 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Betfair
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League standings
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