Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:30 •
Shamakhi City Stadium
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.27)
2.64 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 13.8% | 73.3% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.2%
0 - 3
10.8%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Qarabag | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şamaxı FK | 0 | 3.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | |
| 2 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 18% | 86% |
| Defense | 82% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
| Wins | 23% | 31% | 27% | 64% | 73% | 68% |
| Draws | 31% | 46% | 38% | 21% | 9% | 16% |
| Loses | 46% | 23% | 35% | 14% | 18% | 16% |
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League goals
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 12 | 25 | 32 | 23 | 55 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 19 | 9 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 58% | 84% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 35% | 60% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 28% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 20% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 8 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 8 |
Streaks
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Şamaxı FK | Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 17% | 83% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home8.80 @ Dafabet
Draw4.80 @ Dafabet
Away1.42 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.41 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365
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League standings
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