Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.09)
1.58 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.8% | 22.4% | 33.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.5%
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 2
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Uruguay Montevideo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Luz | 0 | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 42% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Draws | 50% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
La LuzDDDW
Uruguay MontevideoDDWL
League goals
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Luz | Uruguay Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 60.2% | 39.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.55 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.10 @ William Hill
No1.67 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…