Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 18:30 •
Estadio Luis Franzini
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.16)
0.51 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.8% | 37.7% | 20.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.3%
1 - 0
21.9%
0 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Boston River | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Defensor Sporting | 0 | 25.2% | 12.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.9% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 70% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 50% | 17% | 30% | 17% | 50% | 30% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 17% | 25% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 30% | 67% | 25% | 50% |
Defensor SportingDWWLDLWDDL
Boston RiverLLDDLLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 70% | 50% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Defensor Sporting | Boston River |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away3.88 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.77 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…