Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 15:00 •
Estadio Sarriena
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.51)
1.82 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 21.1% | 34.6% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.0%
1 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Derio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leioa | 0 | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leioa | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 33% | 48% |
| Defense | 76% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leioa | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 53% | 55% | 53% | 43% | 48% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Loses | 21% | 33% | 28% | 33% | 36% | 34% |
LeioaLWWLLDWWDWWLLDWWLWWWWLWWDWWDL
DerioWLDLLWWWWLWDWDLLLWLWLWWDWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Leioa | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 15 | 42 | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 11 | 28 | 13 | 23 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leioa | Derio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 66% | 79% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 17% | 52% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 10% | 21% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leioa | Derio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leioa | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leioa | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 5-2 |
| Goals For | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leioa | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 41% | 59% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.07 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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