Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 17:00 •
Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.24)
1.56 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.5% | 25.4% | 56.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.7%
0 - 2
12.3%
1 - 1
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almería II | 0 | 10.1% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 73% |
| Attack | 30% | 90% |
| Defense | 10% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 13% | 13% | 13% | 19% | 43% | 30% |
| Draws | 40% | 13% | 27% | 38% | 7% | 23% |
| Loses | 47% | 73% | 60% | 44% | 50% | 47% |
Form: Almería II: LWLLLLLLLDWWDLDDLLLDLDLWLDLLLD • Estepona: DLLWLWLLLLLLLLLDWDLWDDWWLWWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 19 | 25 | 44 | 21 | 18 | 39 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almería II | Estepona | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 90% | 63% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almería II | Estepona |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15% | 85% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Estepona
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Almería II = 0.73 (league 1.24), Estepona = 1.56 (league 0.92)
| Estepona | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almería II | 0 | 10.1% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 56.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1