Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 15:00 •
Slokas Stadions
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.59)
2.77 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 12.2% | 75.6% |
best score tips
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 3
11.8%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Riga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Super Nova | 0 | 3.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 39% | 100% |
| Defense | 72% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
87%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Wins | 0% | 75% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 60% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% |
Super NovaLDWWW
RigaLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Super Nova | Riga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 80% | 100% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 80% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 60% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 4-2 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Super Nova | Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 28% | 72% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home16.00 @ 10Bet
Draw6.06 @ Pinnacle
Away1.24 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.72 @ BetVictor
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.60 @ Marathonbet
No1.54 @ Unibet
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League standings
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