Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 19:00 • Allianz Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.57 (league 1.87) 1.02 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.0% 16.4% 12.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
2 - 0
9.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Madrid
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bayern München 0 2.7% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.1% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.0% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBayern MünchenReal Madrid
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%75%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bayern München Real Madrid
HATHAT
Played56117613
Wins100%83%91%71%67%69%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%17%9%29%33%31%
Bayern MünchenWWWWLWWWWWW
Real MadridWWWLWLWLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Bayern München Real Madrid
HATHAT
GF total161834161430
GF avg3.23.03.12.32.32.3
GA total38117916
GA avg0.61.31.01.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBayern MünchenReal Madrid
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%82%92%69%
1.591%9%62%31%
2.555%9%31%15%
3.536%0%23%8%
4.518%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBayern MünchenReal Madrid
HATHAT
Clean sheets202224
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricBayern MünchenReal Madrid
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricBayern MünchenReal Madrid
Wins44
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-66-10-5
Biggest losses3-11-24-2
Goals For4665
Goals Against1324

Model comparison

MetricBayern MünchenReal Madrid
Form56%44%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total59.8%40.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ 188Bet
Draw6.08 @ 1xBet
Away4.90 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.54.80 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.35 @ 188Bet
No3.50 @ Unibet
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League standings

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