Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
GS Staalwerken Stadion
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.75)
1.48 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.1% | 24.1% | 35.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
| VVV Venlo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Helmond Sport | 0 | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 33% |
| Attack | 25% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 39% | 11% | 25% | 39% | 28% | 33% |
| Draws | 28% | 22% | 25% | 11% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Helmond SportLDWLLWLWLWWLLWLLWDLLDDLDLWWLLDLLDLDD
VVV VenloLLWLWLWWLLWLWLWLLLWWWLLDDWDDLLLLDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 29 | 11 | 40 | 23 | 24 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 28 | 33 | 61 | 25 | 30 | 55 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 78% | 69% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 50% | 39% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 28% | 17% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 11% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 5-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Helmond Sport | VVV Venlo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.88 @ Bet365
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.33 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.60 @ Unibet
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League standings
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