Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 18:00 •
Koning Willem II Stadion
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.75)
1.22 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.9% | 25.9% | 31.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Jong AZ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Willem II | 0 | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 47% |
| Attack | 75% | 58% |
| Defense | 75% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 17% | 44% | 31% |
| Draws | 22% | 22% | 22% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Loses | 28% | 28% | 28% | 72% | 44% | 58% |
Willem IILLWWDDWWWLWLDLDDWLWLDWWLWDWLWDWWLWWW
Jong AZLLLLWDLWDLLWWLLWLLWLLLWLWLWDLLLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 32 | 54 | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 16 | 25 | 41 | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Willem II | Jong AZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 69% | 72% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 31% | 50% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 6% | 31% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 11% | 19% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Willem II | Jong AZ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 37% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 79% | 21% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 63.5% | 36.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ Dafabet
Away5.02 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.88 @ Betfair
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League standings
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