Fri, Apr 17 2026 • 21:00 •
Estadio Jaraguay
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.18)
1.79 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.6% | 22.1% | 38.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
8.1%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Pasto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jaguares | 0 | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 24% | 35% |
| Defense | 59% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 67% | 43% | 56% |
| Draws | 13% | 13% | 13% | 22% | 29% | 25% |
| Loses | 38% | 88% | 63% | 11% | 29% | 19% |
JaguaresWLDWLWLLLLLLDLWL
Deportivo PastoWWWLDWDDWWLWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 9 | 19 | 28 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 81% | 81% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 56% | 50% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 25% | 6% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 48% | 52% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 35.0% | 65.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.05 @ 10Bet
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away2.67 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.38 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ 10Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…