Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 12:00 •
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.66)
1.44 (league 1.39)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.3% | 19.0% | 21.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
7.4%
3 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Hoffenheim II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| MSV Duisburg | 0 | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 47% | 41% |
| Defense | 53% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| Wins | 75% | 29% | 52% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 29% | 27% | 29% | 13% | 21% |
| Loses | 0% | 41% | 21% | 41% | 50% | 45% |
MSV DuisburgWWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWWLWLWDDWLWLWW
Hoffenheim IIDWWWLLWDLLWDWLWLWDWLLLDLLLWLLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 25 | 59 | 28 | 32 | 60 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 16 | 27 | 43 | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 70% | 88% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 27% | 45% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 30% | 15% | 24% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 9% | 18% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 6-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | MSV Duisburg | Hoffenheim II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 49.4% | 50.6% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.60 @ Betano
No2.45 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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