Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.45)
1.23 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.7% | 23.5% | 26.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Avellino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mantova | 0 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.9% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 75% | 58% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| Wins | 47% | 18% | 32% | 41% | 18% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 24% | 21% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Loses | 35% | 59% | 47% | 29% | 53% | 41% |
MantovaLWLLLLDDLLWWWLLLLDDWLDWLLWDLWDWLWW
AvellinoLDWWWDDLLDWLLWDLDDWLLWLLLDDLWWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 14 | 39 | 23 | 15 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 25 | 23 | 48 | 25 | 29 | 54 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mantova | Avellino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 76% | 65% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 35% | 29% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 18% | 12% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mantova | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.48 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 10Bet
Away3.35 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ 10Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
Loading standings…