Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 13:00 •
Umuganda Stadium
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.07)
1.32 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.4% | 28.8% | 53.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.0%
0 - 0
14.4%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| APR | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 14.5% | 19.0% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Etincelles | APR |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 87% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Etincelles | APR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 15% | 8% | 12% | 77% | 31% | 54% |
| Draws | 46% | 54% | 50% | 23% | 54% | 38% |
| Loses | 38% | 38% | 38% | 0% | 15% | 8% |
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League goals
| Metric | Etincelles | APR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 5 | 14 | 19 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Etincelles | APR | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 77% | 81% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 27% | 50% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Etincelles | APR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Etincelles | APR |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Etincelles | APR |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Etincelles | APR |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 24% | 76% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 26.0% | 74.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home7.25 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Betfair
Away1.55 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.60 @ William Hill
No1.44 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365
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League standings
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