Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 19:00 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50)
1.66 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.3% | 23.5% | 41.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 6.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 42% | 75% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
79%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 16 | 16 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| Wins | 38% | 44% | 41% | 63% | 31% | 47% |
| Draws | 31% | 25% | 28% | 19% | 44% | 31% |
| Loses | 31% | 31% | 31% | 19% | 25% | 22% |
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Manchester UnitedLDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 30 | 53 | 31 | 26 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 21 | 41 | 19 | 26 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 72% | 91% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 44% | 56% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 13% | 22% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 9% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.26 @ Dafabet
Draw3.79 @ 1xBet
Away3.55 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ Bet365
No2.75 @ Unibet
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League standings
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