Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Yaiza
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.51)
1.10 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.9% | 29.0% | 34.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
1 - 0
12.2%
0 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Mensajero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Sur Yaiza | 0 | 10.9% | 11.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 67% |
| Attack | 30% | 60% |
| Defense | 0% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 36% | 13% | 24% | 80% | 20% | 50% |
| Draws | 14% | 27% | 21% | 13% | 47% | 30% |
| Loses | 50% | 60% | 55% | 7% | 33% | 20% |
Unión Sur YaizaWWLWDLWDWDLLLDLLLLLLLWLWDLLLD
MensajeroWLLWDWDWDWWDDLWLWDDWWWLWDWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 9 | 27 | 33 | 14 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 10 | 20 | 30 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 48% | 76% | 77% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 38% | 47% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 24% | 23% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 2-4 | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Sur Yaiza | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 33% | 67% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 31.3% | 68.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.50 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Marathonbet
Away2.10 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.83 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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