Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Sinergy Stadium
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.33)
1.55 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 35.1% | 24.3% | 39.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Castellanzese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chievo | 0 | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 53% | 56% | 55% | 44% | 20% | 32% |
| Draws | 13% | 13% | 13% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 31% | 32% | 31% | 47% | 39% |
ChievoWWLWDWWWWDWLWLLLWDDLWWLLLWLWWWW
CastellanzeseDDLDWWLLWWDDLDWLWLDDLLWWLWDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 18 | 19 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 21 | 17 | 38 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 61% | 65% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 23% | 10% | 3% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-8 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chievo | Castellanzese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 60.5% | 39.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.83 @ William Hill
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.50 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ William Hill
No1.88 @ 1xBet
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League standings
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